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pywafo/wafo/stats/_distn_infrastructure.py

634 lines
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Python

from __future__ import absolute_import
from scipy.stats._distn_infrastructure import * # @UnusedWildImport
from scipy.stats._distn_infrastructure import (_skew, # @UnusedImport
_kurtosis, _ncx2_log_pdf, # @IgnorePep8 @UnusedImport
_ncx2_pdf, _ncx2_cdf) # @UnusedImport @IgnorePep8
from .estimation import FitDistribution
from ._constants import _XMAX, _XMIN
from wafo.misc import lazyselect as _lazyselect
from wafo.misc import lazywhere as _lazywhere
_doc_default_example = """\
Examples
--------
>>> from wafo.stats import %(name)s
>>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
>>> fig, ax = plt.subplots(1, 1)
Calculate a few first moments:
%(set_vals_stmt)s
>>> mean, var, skew, kurt = %(name)s.stats(%(shapes)s, moments='mvsk')
Display the probability density function (``pdf``):
>>> x = np.linspace(%(name)s.ppf(0.01, %(shapes)s),
... %(name)s.ppf(0.99, %(shapes)s), 100)
>>> ax.plot(x, %(name)s.pdf(x, %(shapes)s),
... 'r-', lw=5, alpha=0.6, label='%(name)s pdf')
Alternatively, the distribution object can be called (as a function)
to fix the shape, location and scale parameters. This returns a "frozen"
RV object holding the given parameters fixed.
Freeze the distribution and display the frozen ``pdf``:
>>> rv = %(name)s(%(shapes)s)
>>> ax.plot(x, rv.pdf(x), 'k-', lw=2, label='frozen pdf')
Check accuracy of ``cdf`` and ``ppf``:
>>> vals = %(name)s.ppf([0.001, 0.5, 0.999], %(shapes)s)
>>> np.allclose([0.001, 0.5, 0.999], %(name)s.cdf(vals, %(shapes)s))
True
Generate random numbers:
>>> r = %(name)s.rvs(%(shapes)s, size=1000)
And compare the histogram:
>>> ax.hist(r, normed=True, histtype='stepfilled', alpha=0.2)
>>> ax.legend(loc='best', frameon=False)
>>> plt.show()
Compare ML and MPS method
>>> phat = %(name)s.fit2(R, method='ml');>>> phat.plotfitsummary()
>>> plt.figure(plt.gcf().number+1)
>>> phat2 = %(name)s.fit2(R, method='mps')
>>> phat2.plotfitsummary(); plt.figure(plt.gcf().number+1)
Fix loc=0 and estimate shapes and scale
>>> phat3 = %(name)s.fit2(R, scale=1, floc=0, method='mps')
>>> phat3.plotfitsummary(); plt.figure(plt.gcf().number+1)
Accurate confidence interval with profile loglikelihood
>>> lp = phat3.profile()
>>> lp.plot()
>>> pci = lp.get_bounds()
"""
# Frozen RV class
class rv_frozen(object):
''' Frozen continous or discrete 1D Random Variable object (RV)
Methods
-------
rvs(size=1)
Random variates.
pdf(x)
Probability density function.
cdf(x)
Cumulative density function.
sf(x)
Survival function (1-cdf --- sometimes more accurate).
ppf(q)
Percent point function (inverse of cdf --- percentiles).
isf(q)
Inverse survival function (inverse of sf).
stats(moments='mv')
Mean('m'), variance('v'), skew('s'), and/or kurtosis('k').
moment(n)
n-th order non-central moment of distribution.
entropy()
(Differential) entropy of the RV.
interval(alpha)
Confidence interval with equal areas around the median.
expect(func, lb, ub, conditional=False)
Calculate expected value of a function with respect to the
distribution.
'''
def __init__(self, dist, *args, **kwds):
# create a new instance
self.dist = dist # .__class__(**dist._ctor_param)
shapes, loc, scale = self.dist._parse_args(*args, **kwds)
if isinstance(dist, rv_continuous):
self.par = shapes + (loc, scale)
else: # rv_discrete
self.par = shapes + (loc,)
self.a = self.dist.a
self.b = self.dist.b
self.shapes = self.dist.shapes
# @property
# def shapes(self):
# return self.dist.shapes
@property
def random_state(self):
return self.dist._random_state
@random_state.setter
def random_state(self, seed):
self.dist._random_state = check_random_state(seed)
def pdf(self, x):
''' Probability density function at x of the given RV.'''
return self.dist.pdf(x, *self.par)
def logpdf(self, x):
return self.dist.logpdf(x, *self.par)
def cdf(self, x):
'''Cumulative distribution function at x of the given RV.'''
return self.dist.cdf(x, *self.par)
def logcdf(self, x):
return self.dist.logcdf(x, *self.par)
def ppf(self, q):
'''Percent point function (inverse of cdf) at q of the given RV.'''
return self.dist.ppf(q, *self.par)
def isf(self, q):
'''Inverse survival function at q of the given RV.'''
return self.dist.isf(q, *self.par)
def rvs(self, size=None, random_state=None):
kwds = {'size': size, 'random_state': random_state}
return self.dist.rvs(*self.par, **kwds)
def sf(self, x):
'''Survival function (1-cdf) at x of the given RV.'''
return self.dist.sf(x, *self.par)
def logsf(self, x):
return self.dist.logsf(x, *self.par)
def stats(self, moments='mv'):
''' Some statistics of the given RV'''
kwds = dict(moments=moments)
return self.dist.stats(*self.par, **kwds)
def median(self):
return self.dist.median(*self.par)
def mean(self):
return self.dist.mean(*self.par)
def var(self):
return self.dist.var(*self.par)
def std(self):
return self.dist.std(*self.par)
def moment(self, n):
return self.dist.moment(n, *self.par)
def entropy(self):
return self.dist.entropy(*self.par)
def pmf(self, k):
'''Probability mass function at k of the given RV'''
return self.dist.pmf(k, *self.par)
def logpmf(self, k):
return self.dist.logpmf(k, *self.par)
def interval(self, alpha):
return self.dist.interval(alpha, *self.par)
def expect(self, func=None, lb=None, ub=None, conditional=False, **kwds):
if isinstance(self.dist, rv_continuous):
a, loc, scale = self.par[:-2], self.par[:-2], self.par[-1]
return self.dist.expect(func, a, loc, scale, lb, ub, conditional,
**kwds)
a, loc = self.par[:-1], self.par[-1]
if kwds:
raise ValueError("Discrete expect does not accept **kwds.")
return self.dist.expect(func, a, loc, lb, ub, conditional)
def freeze(self, *args, **kwds):
"""Freeze the distribution for the given arguments.
Parameters
----------
arg1, arg2, arg3,... : array_like
The shape parameter(s) for the distribution. Should include all
the non-optional arguments, may include ``loc`` and ``scale``.
Returns
-------
rv_frozen : rv_frozen instance
The frozen distribution.
"""
return rv_frozen(self, *args, **kwds)
# def link(self, x, logSF, theta, i):
# '''
# Return theta[i] as function of quantile, survival probability and
# theta[j] for j!=i.
#
# Parameters
# ----------
# x : quantile
# logSF : logarithm of the survival probability
# theta : list
# all distribution parameters including location and scale.
#
# Returns
# -------
# theta[i] : real scalar
# fixed distribution parameter theta[i] as function of x, logSF and
# theta[j] where j != i.
#
# LINK is a function connecting the fixed distribution parameter theta[i]
# with the quantile (x) and the survival probability (SF) and the
# remaining free distribution parameters theta[j] for j!=i, i.e.:
# theta[i] = link(x, logSF, theta, i),
# where logSF = log(Prob(X>x; theta)).
#
# See also
# estimation.Profile
# '''
# return self._link(x, logSF, theta, i)
#
#
# def _link(self, x, logSF, theta, i):
# msg = 'Link function not implemented for the {} distribution'
# raise NotImplementedError(msg.format(self.name))
def _resolve_ties(self, log_dprb, x, args, scale):
dx = np.diff(x, axis=0)
tie = dx == 0
if any(tie): # TODO : implement this method for treating ties in data:
# Assume measuring error is delta. Then compute
# yL = F(xi-delta,theta)
# yU = F(xi+delta,theta)
# and replace
# logDj = log((yU-yL)/(r-1)) for j = i+1,i+2,...i+r-1
# The following is OK when only minimization of T is wanted
i_tie, = np.nonzero(tie)
log_dprb[i_tie + 1] = log(self._pdf(x[i_tie], *args)) - log(scale)
return log_dprb
def _log_dprb(self, x, args, scale, lowertail=True):
if lowertail:
prb = np.hstack((0.0, self.cdf(x, *args), 1.0))
dprb = np.diff(prb)
else:
prb = np.hstack((1.0, self.sf(x, *args), 0.0))
dprb = -np.diff(prb)
log_dprb = log(dprb + _XMIN)
log_dprb = _resolve_ties(self, log_dprb, x, args, scale)
return log_dprb
def _nlogps_and_penalty(self, x, scale, args):
cond0 = ~self._support_mask(x)
n_bad = np.sum(cond0)
if n_bad > 0:
x = argsreduce(~cond0, x)[0]
log_dprb = _log_dprb(self, x, args, scale)
finite_log_dprb = np.isfinite(log_dprb)
n_bad += np.sum(~finite_log_dprb, axis=0)
if n_bad > 0:
penalty = 100.0 * np.log(_XMAX) * n_bad
return -np.sum(log_dprb[finite_log_dprb], axis=0) + penalty
return -np.sum(log_dprb, axis=0)
def _penalized_nlogps(self, theta, x):
""" Moran's negative log Product Spacings statistic
where theta are the parameters (including loc and scale)
Note the data in x must be sorted
References
-----------
R. C. H. Cheng; N. A. K. Amin (1983)
"Estimating Parameters in Continuous Univariate Distributions with a
Shifted Origin.",
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological),
Vol. 45, No. 3. (1983), pp. 394-403.
R. C. H. Cheng; M. A. Stephens (1989)
"A Goodness-Of-Fit Test Using Moran's Statistic with Estimated
Parameters", Biometrika, 76, 2, pp 385-392
Wong, T.S.T. and Li, W.K. (2006)
"A note on the estimation of extreme value distributions using maximum
product of spacings.",
IMS Lecture Notes Monograph Series 2006, Vol. 52, pp. 272-283
"""
loc, scale, args = _unpack_loc_scale(theta)
if not self._argcheck(*args) or scale <= 0:
return inf
x = asarray((x - loc) / scale)
return _nlogps_and_penalty(self, x, scale, args)
def _unpack_loc_scale(theta):
try:
loc = theta[-2]
scale = theta[-1]
args = tuple(theta[:-2])
except IndexError:
raise ValueError("Not enough input arguments.")
return loc, scale, args
def _nnlf_and_penalty(self, x, args):
cond0 = ~self._support_mask(x)
n_bad = sum(cond0)
if n_bad > 0:
x = argsreduce(~cond0, x)[0]
logpdf = self._logpdf(x, *args)
finite_logpdf = np.isfinite(logpdf)
n_bad += np.sum(~finite_logpdf, axis=0)
if n_bad > 0:
penalty = n_bad * log(_XMAX) * 100
return -np.sum(logpdf[finite_logpdf], axis=0) + penalty
return -np.sum(logpdf, axis=0)
def _penalized_nnlf(self, theta, x, penalty=None):
''' Return negative loglikelihood function,
i.e., - sum (log pdf(x, theta), axis=0)
where theta are the parameters (including loc and scale)
'''
loc, scale, args = _unpack_loc_scale(theta)
if not self._argcheck(*args) or scale <= 0:
return inf
x = asarray((x-loc) / scale)
n_log_scale = len(x) * log(scale)
return _nnlf_and_penalty(self, x, args) + n_log_scale
def _reduce_func(self, args, options):
# First of all, convert fshapes params to fnum: eg for stats.beta,
# shapes='a, b'. To fix `a`, can specify either `f1` or `fa`.
# Convert the latter into the former.
kwds = options # .copy()
if self.shapes:
shapes = self.shapes.replace(',', ' ').split()
for j, s in enumerate(shapes):
val = kwds.pop('f' + s, None) or kwds.pop('fix_' + s, None)
if val is not None:
key = 'f%d' % j
if key in kwds:
raise ValueError("Duplicate entry for %s." % key)
else:
kwds[key] = val
args = list(args)
Nargs = len(args)
fixedn = []
names = ['f%d' % n for n in range(Nargs - 2)] + ['floc', 'fscale']
x0 = []
for n, key in enumerate(names):
if key in kwds:
fixedn.append(n)
args[n] = kwds.pop(key)
else:
x0.append(args[n])
method = kwds.pop('method', 'ml').lower()
if method.startswith('mps'):
fitfun = self._penalized_nlogps
else:
fitfun = self._penalized_nnlf
if len(fixedn) == 0:
func = fitfun
restore = None
else:
if len(fixedn) == Nargs:
raise ValueError(
"All parameters fixed. There is nothing to optimize.")
def restore(args, theta):
# Replace with theta for all numbers not in fixedn
# This allows the non-fixed values to vary, but
# we still call self.nnlf with all parameters.
i = 0
for n in range(Nargs):
if n not in fixedn:
args[n] = theta[i]
i += 1
return args
def func(theta, x):
newtheta = restore(args[:], theta)
return fitfun(newtheta, x)
return x0, func, restore, args
def _get_optimizer(kwds):
optimizer = kwds.pop('optimizer', optimize.fmin)
# convert string to function in scipy.optimize
if not callable(optimizer) and isinstance(optimizer, string_types):
if not optimizer.startswith('fmin_'):
optimizer = "fmin_" + optimizer
if optimizer == 'fmin_':
optimizer = 'fmin'
try:
optimizer = getattr(optimize, optimizer)
except AttributeError:
raise ValueError("%s is not a valid optimizer" % optimizer)
return optimizer
def fit(self, data, *args, **kwargs):
"""
Return ML/MPS estimate for shape, location, and scale parameters from data.
ML and MPS stands for Maximum Likelihood and Maximum Product Spacing,
respectively. Starting estimates for
the fit are given by input arguments; for any arguments not provided
with starting estimates, ``self._fitstart(data)`` is called to generate
such.
One can hold some parameters fixed to specific values by passing in
keyword arguments ``f0``, ``f1``, ..., ``fn`` (for shape parameters)
and ``floc`` and ``fscale`` (for location and scale parameters,
respectively).
Parameters
----------
data : array_like
Data to use in calculating the MLEs.
args : floats, optional
Starting value(s) for any shape-characterizing arguments (those not
provided will be determined by a call to ``_fitstart(data)``).
No default value.
kwds : floats, optional
Starting values for the location and scale parameters; no default.
Special keyword arguments are recognized as holding certain
parameters fixed:
- f0...fn : hold respective shape parameters fixed.
Alternatively, shape parameters to fix can be specified by name.
For example, if ``self.shapes == "a, b"``, ``fa``and ``fix_a``
are equivalent to ``f0``, and ``fb`` and ``fix_b`` are
equivalent to ``f1``.
- floc : hold location parameter fixed to specified value.
- fscale : hold scale parameter fixed to specified value.
- optimizer : The optimizer to use. The optimizer must take ``func``,
and starting position as the first two arguments,
plus ``args`` (for extra arguments to pass to the
function to be optimized) and ``disp=0`` to suppress
output as keyword arguments.
Returns
-------
shape, loc, scale : tuple of floats
MLEs for any shape statistics, followed by those for location and
scale.
Notes
-----
This fit is computed by maximizing a log-likelihood function, with
penalty applied for samples outside of range of the distribution. The
returned answer is not guaranteed to be the globally optimal MLE, it
may only be locally optimal, or the optimization may fail altogether.
Examples
--------
Generate some data to fit: draw random variates from the `beta`
distribution
>>> from wafo.stats import beta
>>> a, b = 1., 2.
>>> x = beta.rvs(a, b, size=1000)
Now we can fit all four parameters (``a``, ``b``, ``loc`` and ``scale``):
>>> a1, b1, loc1, scale1 = beta.fit(x)
We can also use some prior knowledge about the dataset: let's keep
``loc`` and ``scale`` fixed:
>>> a1, b1, loc1, scale1 = beta.fit(x, floc=0, fscale=1)
>>> loc1, scale1
(0, 1)
We can also keep shape parameters fixed by using ``f``-keywords. To
keep the zero-th shape parameter ``a`` equal 1, use ``f0=1`` or,
equivalently, ``fa=1``:
>>> a1, b1, loc1, scale1 = beta.fit(x, fa=1, floc=0, fscale=1)
>>> a1
1
"""
Narg = len(args)
if Narg > self.numargs:
raise TypeError("Too many input arguments.")
kwds = kwargs.copy()
start = [None]*2
if (Narg < self.numargs) or not ('loc' in kwds and
'scale' in kwds):
# get distribution specific starting locations
start = self._fitstart(data)
args += start[Narg:-2]
loc = kwds.pop('loc', start[-2])
scale = kwds.pop('scale', start[-1])
args += (loc, scale)
x0, func, restore, args = self._reduce_func(args, kwds)
optimizer = _get_optimizer(kwds)
# by now kwds must be empty, since everybody took what they needed
if kwds:
raise TypeError("Unknown arguments: %s." % kwds)
vals = optimizer(func, x0, args=(ravel(data),), disp=0)
if restore is not None:
vals = restore(args, vals)
vals = tuple(vals)
return vals
def fit2(self, data, *args, **kwds):
''' Return Maximum Likelihood or Maximum Product Spacing estimator object
Parameters
----------
data : array-like
Data to use in calculating the ML or MPS estimators
args : optional
Starting values for any shape arguments (those not specified
will be determined by dist._fitstart(data))
kwds : loc, scale
Starting values for the location and scale parameters
Special keyword arguments are recognized as holding certain
parameters fixed:
f0..fn : hold respective shape paramters fixed
floc : hold location parameter fixed to specified value
fscale : hold scale parameter fixed to specified value
method : of estimation. Options are
'ml' : Maximum Likelihood method (default)
'mps': Maximum Product Spacing method
alpha : scalar, optional
Confidence coefficent (default=0.05)
search : bool
If true search for best estimator (default),
otherwise return object with initial distribution parameters
copydata : bool
If true copydata (default)
optimizer : The optimizer to use. The optimizer must take func,
and starting position as the first two arguments,
plus args (for extra arguments to pass to the
function to be optimized) and disp=0 to suppress
output as keyword arguments.
Return
------
phat : FitDistribution object
Fitted distribution object with following member variables:
LLmax : loglikelihood function evaluated using par
LPSmax : log product spacing function evaluated using par
pvalue : p-value for the fit
par : distribution parameters (fixed and fitted)
par_cov : covariance of distribution parameters
par_fix : fixed distribution parameters
par_lower : lower (1-alpha)% confidence bound for the parameters
par_upper : upper (1-alpha)% confidence bound for the parameters
Note
----
`data` is sorted using this function, so if `copydata`==False the data
in your namespace will be sorted as well.
'''
return FitDistribution(self, data, args, **kwds)
def _support_mask(self, x):
return (self.a <= x) & (x <= self.b)
def _open_support_mask(self, x):
return (self.a < x) & (x < self.b)
rv_generic.freeze = freeze
rv_discrete.freeze = freeze
rv_continuous.freeze = freeze
#rv_continuous.link = link
#rv_continuous._link = _link
rv_continuous._penalized_nlogps = _penalized_nlogps
rv_continuous._penalized_nnlf = _penalized_nnlf
rv_continuous._reduce_func = _reduce_func
rv_continuous.fit = fit
rv_continuous.fit2 = fit2
rv_continuous._support_mask = _support_mask
rv_continuous._open_support_mask = _open_support_mask